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Human and nature dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies

Human and nature dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies


This NASA study builds a human population dynamics model that includes equations describing the evolution of Elites, Commoners, Nature, and Wealth. The model shows Economic Stratification or Ecological Strain can independently lead to collapse, in agreement with the historical record. “Carrying Capacity” is shown to be a practical means for early detection of a collapse. Mechanisms leading to two types of collapses are discussed. The new dynamics of this model can also reproduce the irreversible collapses found in history. Collapse can be avoided, and population can reach a steady state at maximum carrying capacity if the rate of depletion of nature is reduced to a sustainable level and if resources are distributed equitably.


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Source: NASA

Functional Sector: Environment, Science

Date Added: 2024-03-27

humanityCategory:
Humanity
articleFormat:
Article
30-60 minutesDuration:
between 30 and 60 minutes

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Human and nature dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies